Information-Based Skill Scores for Probabilistic ForecastsAHRENS, Bodo; WALSER, André.Monthly weather review. 2008, Vol 136, Num 1, pp 351-362, issn 0027-0644, 12 p.Article

Ensemble Model Output Statistics for Wind VectorsSCHUHEN, Nina; THORARINSDOTTIR, Thordis L; GNEITING, Tilmann et al.Monthly weather review. 2012, Vol 140, Num 10, pp 3204-3219, issn 0027-0644, 16 p.Article

Estimation of predictability with a newly derived index to quantify similarity among ensemble membersYAMADA, Tomohito J; KOSTER, Randal D; KANAE, Shinjiro et al.Monthly weather review. 2007, Vol 135, Num 7, pp 2674-2687, issn 0027-0644, 14 p.Article

Evaluating Rank Histograms Using Decompositions of the Chi-Square Test StatisticJOLLIFFE, Ian T; PRIMO, Cristina.Monthly weather review. 2008, Vol 136, Num 6, pp 2133-2139, issn 0027-0644, 7 p.Article

On the Reliability of the Rank HistogramWILKS, D. S.Monthly weather review. 2011, Vol 139, Num 1, pp 311-316, issn 0027-0644, 6 p.Article

Progress and challenges with Warn-on-ForecastSTENSRUD, David J; WICKER, Louis J; POTVIN, Corey K et al.Atmospheric research. 2013, Vol 123, pp 2-16, issn 0169-8095, 15 p.Conference Paper

Calibration of Probabilistic Forecasts of Binary EventsPRIMO, Cristina; FERRO, Christopher A. T; JOLLIFFE, Ian T et al.Monthly weather review. 2009, Vol 137, Num 3, pp 1142-1149, issn 0027-0644, 8 p.Article

Bayesian Model Averaging's Problematic Treatment of Extreme Weather and a Paradigm Shift That Fixes ItBISHOP, Craig H; SHANLEY, Kevin T.Monthly weather review. 2008, Vol 136, Num 12, pp 4641-4652, issn 0027-0644, 12 p.Article

Comments on Conditional Exceedance ProbabilitiesBRÖCKER, Jochen; SIEGERT, Stefan; KANTZ, Holger et al.Monthly weather review. 2011, Vol 139, Num 10, pp 3322-3324, issn 0027-0644, 3 p.Article

A method to improve prediction of atmospheric flow transitionsROEBBER, P. J; TSONIS, A. A.Journal of the atmospheric sciences. 2005, Vol 62, Num 10, pp 3818-3824, issn 0022-4928, 7 p.Article

The Generalized Discrimination Score for Ensemble ForecastsWEIGEL, Andreas P; MASON, Simon J.Monthly weather review. 2011, Vol 139, Num 9, pp 3069-3074, issn 0027-0644, 6 p.Article

Comparison of ensemble-MOS methods using GFS reforecastsWILKS, Daniel S; HAMILL, Thomas M.Monthly weather review. 2007, Vol 135, Num 6, pp 2379-2390, issn 0027-0644, 12 p.Article

Comparing probabilistic forecasting systems with the brier scoreFERRO, Christopher A. T.Weather and forecasting. 2007, Vol 22, Num 5, pp 1076-1088, issn 0882-8156, 13 p.Article

Multivariate probabilistic forecasting using ensemble Bayesian model averaging and copulasMÖLLER, Annette; LENKOSKI, Alex; THORARINSDOTTIR, Thordis L et al.Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. 2013, Vol 139, Num 673, pp 982-991, issn 0035-9009, 10 p.Article

On the application of ensemble modeling techniques to improve ambient solar wind modelsRILEY, Pete; LINKER, Jon A; MIKIC, Zoran et al.Journal of geophysical research. Space physics. 2013, Vol 118, Num 2, pp 600-607, 8 p.Article

Generalization of the Ignorance Score: Continuous Ranked Version and Its DecompositionTODTER, Julian; AHRENS, Bodo.Monthly weather review. 2012, Vol 140, Num 6, pp 2005-2017, issn 0027-0644, 13 p.Article

Diagnosing the Relative Impact of Sneaks, Phantoms, and Volatility in Sequences of Lagged Ensemble Probability Forecasts with a Simple Dynamic Decision ModelMCLAY, Justin G.Monthly weather review. 2011, Vol 139, Num 2, pp 387-402, issn 0027-0644, 16 p.Article

On the Reliability and Calibration of Ensemble ForecastsJOHNSON, Christine; BOWLER, Neill.Monthly weather review. 2009, Vol 137, Num 5, pp 1717-1720, issn 0027-0644, 4 p.Article

Independent Estimations of the Asymptotic Variability in an Ensemble Forecast SystemBENGTSSON, Lisa K; MAGNUSSON, Linus; KÄLLEN, Erland et al.Monthly weather review. 2008, Vol 136, Num 11, pp 4105-4112, issn 0027-0644, 8 p.Article

The Benefits of Multianalysis and Poor Man's EnsemblesBOWLER, Neill E; ARRIBAS, Alberto; MYLNE, Kenneth R et al.Monthly weather review. 2008, Vol 136, Num 11, pp 4113-4129, issn 0027-0644, 17 p.Article

On the systematic reduction of data complexity in multimodel atmospheric dispersion ensemble modelingRICCIO, A; CIARAMELLA, A; GIUNTA, G et al.Journal of geophysical research. 2012, Vol 117, Num D5, issn 0148-0227, D05314.1-D05314.12Article

Rank Histograms of Stratified Monte Carlo EnsemblesSIEGERT, Stefan; BRÖCKER, Jochen; KANTZ, Holger et al.Monthly weather review. 2012, Vol 140, Num 5, pp 1558-1571, issn 0027-0644, 14 p.Article

Evaluating the performance of a WRF physics ensemble over South-East AustraliaEVANS, Jason P; EKSTRÖM, Marie; FEI JI et al.Climate dynamics. 2012, Vol 39, Num 6, pp 1241-1258, issn 0930-7575, 18 p.Article

Bayesian model averaging for emergency response atmospheric dispersion multimodel ensembles: Is it really better? How many data are needed? Are the weights portable?POTEMPSKI, S; GALMARINI, S; RICCIO, A et al.Journal of geophysical research. 2010, Vol 115, Num D21, issn 0148-0227, D21309.1-D21309.9Article

'Superparameterization' and statistical emulation in the Lorenz '96 systemWILKS, D. S.Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. 2012, Vol 138, Num 666, pp 1379-1387, issn 0035-9009, 9 p.Article