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Information-Based Skill Scores for Probabilistic ForecastsAHRENS, Bodo; WALSER, André.Monthly weather review. 2008, Vol 136, Num 1, pp 351-362, issn 0027-0644, 12 p.Article

Ensemble Model Output Statistics for Wind VectorsSCHUHEN, Nina; THORARINSDOTTIR, Thordis L; GNEITING, Tilmann et al.Monthly weather review. 2012, Vol 140, Num 10, pp 3204-3219, issn 0027-0644, 16 p.Article

Estimation of predictability with a newly derived index to quantify similarity among ensemble membersYAMADA, Tomohito J; KOSTER, Randal D; KANAE, Shinjiro et al.Monthly weather review. 2007, Vol 135, Num 7, pp 2674-2687, issn 0027-0644, 14 p.Article

Progress and challenges with Warn-on-ForecastSTENSRUD, David J; WICKER, Louis J; POTVIN, Corey K et al.Atmospheric research. 2013, Vol 123, pp 2-16, issn 0169-8095, 15 p.Conference Paper

Calibration of Probabilistic Forecasts of Binary EventsPRIMO, Cristina; FERRO, Christopher A. T; JOLLIFFE, Ian T et al.Monthly weather review. 2009, Vol 137, Num 3, pp 1142-1149, issn 0027-0644, 8 p.Article

Bayesian Model Averaging's Problematic Treatment of Extreme Weather and a Paradigm Shift That Fixes ItBISHOP, Craig H; SHANLEY, Kevin T.Monthly weather review. 2008, Vol 136, Num 12, pp 4641-4652, issn 0027-0644, 12 p.Article

The Generalized Discrimination Score for Ensemble ForecastsWEIGEL, Andreas P; MASON, Simon J.Monthly weather review. 2011, Vol 139, Num 9, pp 3069-3074, issn 0027-0644, 6 p.Article

Comparison of ensemble-MOS methods using GFS reforecastsWILKS, Daniel S; HAMILL, Thomas M.Monthly weather review. 2007, Vol 135, Num 6, pp 2379-2390, issn 0027-0644, 12 p.Article

Comparing probabilistic forecasting systems with the brier scoreFERRO, Christopher A. T.Weather and forecasting. 2007, Vol 22, Num 5, pp 1076-1088, issn 0882-8156, 13 p.Article

On the systematic reduction of data complexity in multimodel atmospheric dispersion ensemble modelingRICCIO, A; CIARAMELLA, A; GIUNTA, G et al.Journal of geophysical research. 2012, Vol 117, Num D5, issn 0148-0227, D05314.1-D05314.12Article

Rank Histograms of Stratified Monte Carlo EnsemblesSIEGERT, Stefan; BRÖCKER, Jochen; KANTZ, Holger et al.Monthly weather review. 2012, Vol 140, Num 5, pp 1558-1571, issn 0027-0644, 14 p.Article

Evaluating the performance of a WRF physics ensemble over South-East AustraliaEVANS, Jason P; EKSTRÖM, Marie; FEI JI et al.Climate dynamics. 2012, Vol 39, Num 6, pp 1241-1258, issn 0930-7575, 18 p.Article

Bayesian model averaging for emergency response atmospheric dispersion multimodel ensembles: Is it really better? How many data are needed? Are the weights portable?POTEMPSKI, S; GALMARINI, S; RICCIO, A et al.Journal of geophysical research. 2010, Vol 115, Num D21, issn 0148-0227, D21309.1-D21309.9Article

'Superparameterization' and statistical emulation in the Lorenz '96 systemWILKS, D. S.Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. 2012, Vol 138, Num 666, pp 1379-1387, issn 0035-9009, 9 p.Article

Model Uncertainty in a Mesoscale Ensemble Prediction System: Stochastic versus Multiphysics RepresentationsBERNER, J; HA, S.-Y; HACKER, J. P et al.Monthly weather review. 2011, Vol 139, Num 6, pp 1972-1995, issn 0027-0644, 24 p.Article

Regularized Logistic Models for Probabilistic Forecasting and DiagnosticsBROCKER, Jochen.Monthly weather review. 2010, Vol 138, Num 2, pp 592-604, issn 0027-0644, 13 p.Article

The Multiensemble Approach: The NAEFS ExampleCANDILLE, Guillem.Monthly weather review. 2009, Vol 137, Num 5, pp 1655-1665, issn 0027-0644, 11 p.Article

Error Covariance Modeling in the GMAO Ocean Ensemble Kalman FilterKEPPENNE, Christian L; RIENECKER, Michele M; JACOB, Jossy P et al.Monthly weather review. 2008, Vol 136, Num 8, pp 2964-2982, issn 0027-0644, 19 p.Article

The Geometry of Model ErrorJUDD, Kevin; REYNOLDS, Carolyn A; ROSMOND, Thomas E et al.Journal of the atmospheric sciences. 2008, Vol 65, Num 6, pp 1749-1772, issn 0022-4928, 24 p.Article

The geometric norm improves ensemble forecasting with the breeding methodPAZO, D; LOPEZ, J. M; RODRIGUEZ, M. A et al.Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. 2013, Vol 139, Num 677, pp 2021-2032, issn 0035-9009, 12 p., bArticle

Understanding the CMIP3 Multimodel EnsembleANNAN, J. D; HARGREAVES, J. C.Journal of climate. 2011, Vol 24, Num 16, pp 4529-4538, issn 0894-8755, 10 p.Article

Comparison of Ensemble Kalman Filters under Non-GaussianityJING LEI; BICKEL, Peter; SNYDER, Chris et al.Monthly weather review. 2010, Vol 138, Num 4, pp 1293-1306, issn 0027-0644, 14 p.Article

Potential use of an ensemble of analyses in the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction SystemBUIZZA, Roberto; LEUTBECHER, Martin; ISAKSEN, Lars et al.Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. 2008, Vol 134, Num 637, pp 2051-2066, issn 0035-9009, 16 p.Article

Selective ensemble-mean technique for tropical cyclone track forecast by using ensemble prediction systemsLIANGBO QI; HUI YU; PEIYAN CHEN et al.Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. 2014, Vol 140, Num 680, pp 805-813, issn 0035-9009, 9 p.Article

Potential decadal predictability and its sensitivity to sea ice albedo parameterization in a global coupled modelKOENIGK, Torben; KONIG BEATTY, Christof; CAIAN, Mihaela et al.Climate dynamics. 2012, Vol 38, Num 11-12, pp 2389-2408, issn 0930-7575, 20 p.Article

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